Gold and $$$

Gold also sold off last week. Big time. Although fundamentalists still have a case for weaker gold there is a strong technical bear signal (see the volume!!) which I expect will be taken advantage of by technical traders at least for the short term.

GLD 07-12-09

Notice the mirror image on the dollar, which experienced a blast off on similarly impressive volumes. A potential technical trade would be to long dollar with an intial stop at 22.05.

Similarly one could always short gold of course.

UUP (07-12-09)

USO, on the other hand is sticking fast, and showing that the stronger dollar is not causing a similar sellof in other commodities. Either it will have to catch up, or Gold will resume its longer term trend eventually. I still fancy the short term long dollar technical trade even though it’s still going against its long term trend.

USO 07-12-09

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