Author Archives: dirtydog

24-08-10: Bought TBT@32.10

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20-08-10: Waiting for TLT to turn and to initiate some short bond positions

See this post from Mad Hedge Fund Trader. http://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/july-29-2010.html
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IYT

Could IYT (transport) be a leading indicator? This has been signalling weakness since May. BDI (baltic) is also looking weak as of June. TLT (Bonds) also shot up in April.
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Bottom Fishing?

Since my last post I have gone long Europe due to the recent instabilities in the national budgets of certain countries like Greece which prompted many to question to the viability of the Euro and even the European Union, selling my long dollar position in UUP (April) and purchasing euros / european companies by going [...]
Posted in BP, EEM, FXE, GLD, UUP, VGK | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Adding to PGF

Not much to report following the past few weeks, as markets held onto their trading ranges, leaving technical traders waiting for a breakout. I have been looking to increase my equity exposure as the world heads out of recession, but have not added to any positions since adding to EEM a few months ago. I guess I [...]
Posted in PGF, XLF | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Do Earnings Matter + Roundup

The thing about earnings which investors sometimes forget is that they do not automatically end up in the investor’s pocket, and that earnings which actually get paid out do. Hence the premium which dividend paying companies have over non dividend paying companies. If earnings are not paid out, then they must be used effectively. One of the ways in [...]
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ETF Portfolio

Today I updated my portfolio allocations. Over the past few months I have sold a great chunk of my TIPs as well as some equities and some riskier bonds. My cash allocation is now at a whopping 56% of my total portfolio. It costs money to stay in cash because of the low interest rates [...]
Posted in DJIA, EEM, FXI, GLD, General, Gold, Periodic Outlook, TIP, UUP | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Equity outlook for Jan 2010

Despite the fact that most investors (including myself) do not expect equities to perform as well this year as they did last year, there is still strength which showed the Dow breaking above the intermediate resistance level established in November ’09. This also occured in the emerging markets indices.   Many traders (especially those who took profits in [...]
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World Bank Report : Malaysia

In November last year, the World Bank published a report on Malaysia. There are also summaries here and here. However the question is not what Malaysia needs to do. It’s whether or not it has the political will to do it. Can we carry out our “New Economic Model”? This is a question which economists hate because it is [...]
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Will there be inflation in 2010?

Most economists are now wondering whether or not inflation will reappear as a result of the loose monetary policies adopted by governments across the world in 2010. A lot of very successful investors have also recently reiterated that they think it will. The argument is also compelling (it is even taught in my CFA curriculum) and has been supported by historical events. If enough investors act on this belief, prices will [...]
Posted in DBA, IEF, TIP, UUP | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment